Elon Musk admits xAI 'partly distilled' OpenAI models: What do prediction markets say about the lawsuit?

Elon Musk took the stand Thursday, accusing OpenAI of stealing a charity before he admitted that his own AI startup, xAI, had ...

Beyond Prediction: Why Financial Services Needs Causal Architecture at the Core of Its AI Models

The results have been impressive by the metrics that matter to technology teams: accuracy rates, processing speeds, cost ...

Beyond Prediction: Why DeFi Risk and Crypto Market Transmission Demand Causal Fuzzy Cognitive Maps

The crypto market has defeated more prediction models than any other asset class in history. Neural networks trained on ...

AI traders are already testing prediction markets—and losing money

A new study of frontier models on Kalshi and Polymarket finds consistent losses, even as early signs suggest more autonomous ...
The Lancet

From prediction to navigation for artificial intelligence in medicine

Whether estimating the probability that a disease is present or forecasting risk of deterioration,1 readmission,2 or death,3 most contemporary clinical artificial intelligence (AI) systems are ...
Carbon Brief

Traditional models still ‘outperform AI’ for extreme weather forecasts

It is well established that AI climate models have surpassed traditional, physics-based climate models for some aspects of ...
CoinDesk

AI agents are quietly rewriting prediction market trading

Prediction markets have long promised to aggregate insights about future events. Increasingly, those signals are coming not just from people, but from machines. According to David Minarsch, CEO and co ...